Melius Research Upgrades Microsoft Stock to Buy Citing Enterprise AI Security Demand

Melius’s thesis is that businesses increasingly want trusted platforms to select AI models, manage agents and apply security controls, rather than relying directly on AI labs. Analyst Ben Reitzes described Microsoft’s leadership as the “adults in charge.”
Reitzes said the shift toward AI security and governance could strengthen Microsoft’s pricing power in products including its E7 suite and Fabric, and improve the outlook for core applications that he sees as less exposed to agentic AI competition.
Microsoft’s upcoming Q1 fiscal 2027 earnings report, scheduled for October 27, and its Ignite conference in November were identified as potential catalysts for the shares.
Microsoft reported fiscal Q4 revenue of $90.01 billion, beating estimates by 2.71%, and earnings per share of $4.74 versus a $4.24 consensus; the article noted that a $3.2 billion gain tied to Anthropic contributed to the results.
Melius Research upgraded Microsoft to Buy on Tuesday, raising its price target to $665 and citing surging enterprise demand for AI security and governance tools Melius Research. Analyst Ben Reitzes said companies increasingly want trusted platforms to manage AI models and apply security controls, positioning Microsoft as the "adults in charge" in a market anxious about AI risks Melius Research.
Businesses are shifting away from buying AI directly from AI labs and instead seeking platforms that let them select models, manage agents, and enforce security controls Melius Research. This shift could strengthen Microsoft's pricing power in products like its E7 suite and Fabric, according to the analyst Melius Research.
Azure is expected to grow faster than 50% by the fourth quarter of fiscal 2027, and the company's commercial backlog has swelled to $678 billion Melius Research. Microsoft 365 Copilot has attracted more than 30 million paid seats, while Azure annual revenue has already surpassed $100 billion Melius Research.
Microsoft reported fiscal Q4 revenue of $90.01 billion, beating analyst estimates by 2.71%. Earnings per share came in at $4.74 versus a $4.24 consensus estimate Melius Research. A $3.2 billion gain tied to the company's stake in AI firm Anthropic boosted the results Melius Research.
Microsoft's fiscal Q1 earnings report is scheduled for October 27, followed by its Ignite conference in November—both identified as potential catalysts for the stock Melius Research. However, the company's ability to build enough infrastructure to meet AI demand, and the capital spending required, remains a key risk to the investment outlook Melius Research.
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