Polling Pressure on GOP
New Polls Show Trump Approval at Record Low While Kansas Senate Race Ties
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Key Points
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The Reuters/Ipsos poll surveyed 4,506 U.S. adults over six days and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.
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Trump’s 24% approval among Hispanic voters contrasts with the 48% of Hispanic voters who backed him in 2024 and the 36% who supported him in 2020.
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In Kansas, Democrat Adam Hamilton had a net favorability rating of plus 12 in the New York Times/Siena poll, the strongest rating among candidates tested in major Senate contests, while Libertarian David Graham drew 3% in the matchup.
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The Senate Republican super PAC redirected money to Kansas from North Carolina, canceling its remaining ads against Democrat Roy Cooper; Hamilton also received endorsements from two Republican former Kansas governors in less than a month.
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The Guardian reported that voters’ concerns include the economy and the war with Iran, and that some Republicans have distanced themselves from Trump over immigration as they try to retain local support.
President Trump's approval rating has hit a career low of 32% in a new Reuters/Ipsos poll, with his support among Hispanic voters collapsing to just 24%. The findings pose a serious challenge to Republicans trying to hold narrow majorities in Congress as midterm elections approach, with 52% of Hispanic voters planning to vote Democratic compared to 26% for Republicans.
The political weakness extends beyond polling numbers. In Kansas, a traditionally Republican state, Democrat Adam Hamilton has tied Republican incumbent Roger Marshall in recent surveys — forcing national Republicans to shift campaign money to shore up the seat. Trump dismissed concerns about the polling, telling reporters he was "doing great."
Hispanic Voter Support Drops Sharply
Trump's approval among Hispanic voters has fallen dramatically. Only 24% of Hispanic voters approve of his job performance, according to Reuters/Ipsos. This marks a stunning decline from the 48% of Hispanic voters who backed him in 2024 and the 36% who supported him in 2020. The shift threatens Republican prospects in states with large Latino populations.
A separate NBC News/Telemundo poll reinforced the trend, finding strong Latino support for Democratic control of Congress. The Guardian reported that voters cite concerns about the economy and the war with Iran as key issues driving their voting decisions.
Kansas Senate Race Forces Republican Retreat
Republicans have redirected significant campaign money to Kansas after a shock result: Democrat Adam Hamilton is now tied with Republican incumbent Roger Marshall. The New York Times/Siena poll showed Hamilton with a net favorability rating of plus 12 — the strongest rating among major Senate candidates tested nationally. The Senate Republican super PAC pulled ads from North Carolina and redirected funds to Kansas.
Hamilton has also gained unusual support for a Democrat in a red state. Two Republican former Kansas governors endorsed him in less than a month. Libertarian candidate David Graham drew 3% in the matchup, potentially complicating the race for Republicans.
Economy and War Dominate Voter Concerns
Voter anxiety centers on two main issues: the economy and the ongoing conflict with Iran. The Guardian reported that these concerns are reshaping the political landscape heading into midterms. Some Republicans have begun distancing themselves from Trump on immigration to maintain local support, signaling cracks in party unity.
The Reuters/Ipsos poll surveyed 4,506 U.S. adults over six days with a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points. While national polls provide a snapshot of voter sentiment, they do not reliably predict individual races. Republicans face the task of retaining control of the House and Senate despite Trump's sliding approval numbers.
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