Labour's Poll Surge
Labour Overtakes Reform UK in New Poll Amid Burnham's Policy Push and Farage Scrutiny
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Key Points
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Full poll breakdown shows the Conservative Party at 22%, Labour at 28%, Reform UK at 24%, Lib Dems at 12%, Greens at 8% and SNP at 2%, indicating Labour’s lead exists within a broader multi-party landscape.
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Burnham has revived the National Economic Council and established a No 10 North base in Manchester as part of a plan for the biggest devolution of power in modern times, with potential relocation of tens of thousands of Whitehall jobs.
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Beyond bus fare and energy VAT, Burnham’s early policy package includes a 20% cut in business rates for pubs, clubs and small music venues, expanding his stated aim to ease the cost of living for small venues as part of broader economic reform.
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Reform UK’s finances are under scrutiny, including a police probe into donations linked to Nigel Farage and a paused investigation into a £5 million gift from Christopher Harborne, with background references to donations through Fiona Cottrell associated with Farage’s circle.
Labour has overtaken Reform UK in the polls for the first time in 16 months, according to a new More in Common survey Evening Standard. The poll puts Labour at 28% and Reform at 24%, marking a sharp reversal after Reform held the top spot since March 2024.
The shift follows Andy Burnham's first week as Prime Minister, with analysts calling it a "Burnham bounce" Yahoo News. Burnham has moved quickly on cost-of-living measures, signalling an aggressive early agenda.
Full Poll Breakdown Across a Fractured Party Landscape
The More in Common poll shows the Conservatives at 22%, Labour at 28%, Reform at 24%, Lib Dems at 12%, Greens at 8%, and SNP at 2% Head Topics UK. Labour leads, but not by a commanding margin. Electoral projections suggest Labour would be the largest party under these numbers — but still short of an outright majority.
Analysts warn the results come from a single poll and may not hold Head Topics US. Still, the four-point Labour gain in one week is notable. It is the first time Labour has led since March 2025.
Burnham's First-Week Policy Blitz Drives the Surge
Burnham rolled out a broad package of cost-of-living measures in his opening week as PM. Key moves include bus fare caps, VAT cuts on energy bills, and a 20% reduction in business rates for pubs, small clubs, and music venues Yahoo News.
He also revived the National Economic Council and set up a No 10 North base in Manchester Evening Standard. Burnham has described his plan as "the biggest devolution of power in modern times," with tens of thousands of Whitehall jobs potentially moving out of London.
Reform UK Under Financial Scrutiny as Momentum Slips
Reform's slide in the polls comes as the party faces serious questions about its finances. Police are probing donations linked to Nigel Farage Head Topics UK. A separate investigation into a ÂŁ5 million gift from Christopher Harborne has been paused. Donations connected to Fiona Cottrell, tied to Farage's circle, are also drawing attention.
The scrutiny adds pressure on a party that held the poll lead for 16 straight months. Reform has not responded publicly to the latest poll numbers, but the combined hit of financial questions and a rival bounce is a challenging moment for Farage Head Topics US.
Burnham Rules Out Snap Election, Eyes Long-Term Shift
Despite the strong early poll numbers, Burnham has moved to calm speculation about an early election. He ruled out a snap vote, saying his focus is on delivering policy fast Yahoo News. The message is steady-as-she-goes — momentum without instability.
His broader goal, according to aides, is to redraw Britain's economic model. With Labour now leading for the first time in over a year, Burnham has a narrow but real window to build a durable coalition — one that the 28% poll figure alone does not guarantee Evening Standard.
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