WNBA Set for Two-Game Monday Slate

The under-focused analysis also recommends Jessica Shepard under 13.5 points (-120) against Phoenix, pairing it with Reese’s under in a two-leg DraftKings parlay priced around +253.
The under recommendation is based on a particularly narrow market edge: the analyst says all five screened opportunities were unders, but none exceeded a 1% advantage; Reese’s under was listed at -108 versus an estimated fair price of -110.
Jonquel Jones’ points-plus-rebounds prop is supported by her earlier meeting with Atlanta, when she produced 26 combined points and rebounds in 26 minutes while shooting 5-for-8, including 4-for-7 from three-point range.
The case for Jones also cites Atlanta’s vulnerability against centers: the Dream were allowing the position the league’s highest three-point shooting percentage at 44.7%, along with the third-most points (17.5) and third-highest field-goal percentage (53.2%).
The analyst notes that Reese’s recent eight-game form included 20.9 points per game on 58.9% shooting, with 50.0% three-point shooting, while New York had allowed centers to shoot 52.4% overall and 40.6% from beyond the arc.
The WNBA features two games on Monday: Atlanta travels to New York, and Dallas heads to Phoenix. Betting analysts disagree sharply on RotoWire's recommendation that Angel Reese score under 16.5 points. One analysis favors the under based on tight market pricing and recent losses. Another backs the over, citing Reese's 16.6-point season average and her 25-point performance against New York earlier this season WagerTalk.
One betting analyst recommends taking Angel Reese's points prop under 16.5, pointing to a razor-thin market edge. The screened five opportunities showed all unders, but none exceeded a 1% advantage RotoWire. Reese's line sat at -108 versus an estimated fair price of -110. The recommendation pairs Reese's under with Jessica Shepard under 13.5 points in a DraftKings parlay priced at +253. The analyst notes a 5-12 recent record on similar wagers, raising questions about edge.
A competing analysis favors Reese's points over 16.5, citing her 16.6-point season average WagerTalk. Reese has scored 20.9 points per game over her last eight contests on 58.9% shooting and 50.0% from three-point range. New York allows centers to shoot 52.4% overall and 40.6% from beyond the arc. Reese's recent 25-point outburst against the Liberty demonstrates she can exploit the weakness. The over bet capitalizes on her offensive momentum and the Dream's defensive vulnerabilities.
Analysts also highlight Jonquel Jones' points-plus-rebounds prop against Atlanta as a strong play RotoWire. In an earlier meeting with the Dream, Jones produced 26 combined points and rebounds in just 26 minutes on 5-for-8 shooting, including 4-for-7 from three. Atlanta allows centers the league's highest three-point shooting percentage at 44.7%, plus the third-most points (17.5) and third-highest field-goal percentage (53.2%). Jones can feast on these defensive gaps Monday night.
The over-focused analysis also points to Paige Bueckers as an additional prop option on Monday's slate WagerTalk. While specific details remain limited, betting analysts see value in her matchup. Both Reese and Jones props offer concrete statistical edges backed by recent performance data and defensive mismatches. The two-game Monday slate provides multiple angles for bettors seeking an edge in WNBA player props.
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