Cardano rises 16% weekly and reclaims moving average, but faces strong resistance near $0.26.

Cardano’s ADA has risen roughly 11% to 16% in a week, reclaimed the $0.245 level and its 200-day moving average, but has repeatedly struggled to break through resistance near $0.26. A sustained move above that threshold could put $0.27 and $0.30 in view, while a pullback below $0.25 could expose support around $0.20. Derivatives indicators show mixed sentiment, with a low long-to-short ratio suggesting bearish positioning even as positive funding rates point to some bullish demand; options activity and futures open interest have also weakened. Separately, analyst Javon Marks says ADA’s long-term chart resembles its pre-2020 bull-market accumulation pattern and has floated a $2.90 target, though that would require a rise of about 1,050% from around $0.246 and remains a speculative forecast.
Cardano-based decentralized-exchange trading volume jumped 2,965% week over week, lifting 30-day volume to $248.31 million. However, average daily turnover was only $1.68 million, suggesting the increase came largely from isolated bursts rather than sustained activity.
The $2.90 forecast would imply a market capitalization of about $106.62 billion, using a circulating supply of 36.76 billion ADA; the target is also near Cardano’s previous high of $3.10.
The historical comparison cited by analyst Javon Marks is to ADA’s 2020–2021 run: after trading near $0.02 in early 2020, ADA climbed to $3.10 on Sept. 2, 2021.
During the recent rally, ADA briefly tested $0.26 on Sept. 23 but then fell below $0.24 within a day, underscoring the sharp reversals around that resistance.
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