El Niño Threatens Millions With Hunger, Health Risks

NOAA estimates there is more than a 90% chance of a very strong El Niño during the Northern Hemisphere fall and winter of 2026–27.
In Zambia, the projected 1.2 million people facing acute food insecurity from October 2026 through March 2027 would represent a 72% increase from the 698,000 recorded for April through September 2026. World Vision is seeking to raise the school-feeding allocation from K542.9 million to K2 billion, with a goal of reaching 6.6 million learners.
PAHO reported that Peru recorded at least 70 deaths from heavy rains, flooding and landslides between December 2025 and August 2026, while more than 600 health facilities were affected.
UNICEF found that five coastal regions—La Libertad, Lima, Piura, Lambayeque and Ica—account for 1,871,099 of the children living in Peru’s high- or very-high-risk zones. The agency also identified 13,093 educational facilities and 1,917 state health establishments in those risk areas.
A strengthening El Niño is pushing millions toward hunger and health crises across Africa and the Americas. Reuters reports that researchers warn this "super-El Niño" could cause up to 451,000 excess deaths globally over six months through February 2027. In six African countries alone, food insecurity could surge from 12.6 million to 16.4 million people by March 2027 as drought, flooding, and conflict combine.
The Pan American Health Organization says more than 5.2 million people across the Americas already face acute food insecurity or severe risk. Peru is experiencing extreme heat—temperatures hit 38°C in Piura—with over 600 health facilities damaged and at least 70 deaths from flooding and landslides since December 2025. NOAA estimates a more than 90% chance of very strong El Niño conditions through winter 2026–27.
Zambia faces a staggering 72% jump in acute food insecurity. The country expects 1.2 million people to lack adequate food from October 2026 through March 2027, up from 698,000 in the previous six-month period. World Vision is pushing authorities to expand school meal programs—seeking K2 billion to reach 6.6 million learners instead of the current K542.9 million budget. Without this boost, hundreds of thousands of children will lose a critical food source.
Peru is enduring extreme heat and torrential rains that are battering vulnerable regions. Temperatures in Piura reached 38°C as heavy downpours triggered floods and landslides that killed at least 70 people between December 2025 and August 2026. More than 600 health facilities were damaged, cutting off care for sick and injured residents. Officials have kept emergency measures in place as El Niño effects persist.
UNICEF found that 3 million Peruvian children live in high- or very-high-risk zones for El Niño impacts. Five coastal regions—La Libertad, Lima, Piura, Lambayeque, and Ica—account for nearly 1.9 million of those children. The agency also identified 13,093 schools and 1,917 state health centers in these danger zones, though these numbers reflect exposure rather than damage already done.
Six African countries are sliding into a food security nightmare. The number of people facing food insecurity is projected to jump from 12.6 million to 16.4 million by March 2027. Drought, flooding, armed conflict, and chronic underfunding are compounding the crisis. The combination means millions will struggle to find enough food to eat or access basic health services during the crucial 18-month period ahead.
The human cost of this El Niño could be catastrophic. Researchers from the University of Chicago's Climate Impact Lab warn that up to 451,000 excess deaths could occur globally during the six-month period through February 2027. This figure captures deaths linked to El Niño—from heat stress, disease outbreaks, malnutrition, and disrupted healthcare. The sobering projection underscores why urgent action is needed now.
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